Peer-reviewed Journals Note: * denotes the corresponding author

[1]    Jonghyuk Lee*, “Limited Elite Power-sharing in a Personalized Regime: Xi Jinping’s Strategic Retreat from Local Politics,” Journal of Contemporary China (2024).


[2]    Jonghyuk Lee* and Victor C. Shih, “Machine-learning Analysis of Leadership Formation in China to Parse the Roles of Loyalty and Institutional Norms,” PNAS – Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 120:45 (2023).


[3]    Jonghyuk Lee*, “Machine-learning Applications in Authoritarian Selection: The Case of China,” Research and Politics 10:4 (2023).


[4]    Jonghyuk Lee*, “Incentivized Inequality: Career Incentives and Investment Distribution in China,” Journal of Chinese Political Science (2023).


[5]    Jonghyuk Lee*, “Economic Compensation for Elite Dismissals in Authoritarian Regimes: Evidence from Chinese Provincial Officials,” Asian Journal of Social Science 51:4 (2023).

[6]    Zi Yang and Jonghyuk Lee*, “The PLA’s International Relief Operations amid Regional and Global Disease Outbreaks—With Reference to the Ebola and Covid-19 Cases,” Korean Journal of Defense Analysis 35:2 (2023). 


[7]    Jonghyuk Lee*, “Coping with Crisis without Political Reform: Party’s Adaptation Strategies on the Provincial Standing Committee during Post-Mao China,” Asian Survey 61:3 (2021). 


[8]    Victor C. Shih* and Jonghyuk Lee, “Locking in Fair Weather Friends: Assessing the Fate of Chinese Communist Elite When Their Patrons Fall from Power,” Party Politics 26:5 (2020).


[9]    David A. Meyer, Victor C. Shih*, and Jonghyuk Lee, Factions of Different Stripes: Gauging the Recruitment Logics of Factions in the Reform Period,” Journal of East Asian Studies 16:1 (2016). 

Commentaries and Policy Reports

· [1] “The Political Calculus Behind Xi Jinping’s Emphasis on Climate Leadership” (with Bin Gu), The Diplomat (2024-03-06).


[2] “Xi Jinping’s Quest for Self-governance without Democracy,” The Diplomat (2024-02-22).


[3] “The Munich Agreement: 3 Historical Lessons for the Taiwan Strait” (with Yipeng Zhang), The Diplomat (2024-01-27).


[4] “The Future of Factional Politics in China under Xi Jinping,” RSIS Commentary (2023-08-31).


[5] “Understanding China’s Strategic Culture: A Clash of Realpolitik and Cultural Moralism,” RSIS Commentary (2023-04-27).


[6] “China’s Loosening Covid Policy: Lessons from India and Singapore” (with Xingjun Pan), IDSS paper (2023-01-16).


[7] “Xi Jinping’s Political Victory and the “Smart” Reunification Strategy: The Implication of the 20th CPC National Congress on the Cross-Strait Relations” (with Anthony Toh), IDSS paper (2022-11-11).


[8] “The Loyalty-Competence Trade-off in Xi Jinping’s Selection of Party Top Brass,” IDSS paper (2022-11-03).


[9] “No Winner’s Game: Pelosi’s Visit to Taiwan and Geopolitics in Asia” (with Anthony Toh Han Yang and Zi Yang), IDSS paper (2022-08-23).


[10] “From Pragmatism to Aggression: The Sources and Consequences of China’s Assertive Foreign Policy under Xi Jinping” (with Anthony Toh), IDSS paper (2022-08-04).


[11] “AI has Spoken: Who will Make Xi’s Top Team, as Revealed by Machine Learning,” South China Morning Post (2022-07-05).


[12] “Machine-learning Predictions on the 20th Politburo Standing Committee of the Communist Party of China,” IDSS paper (2022-06-30).


[13] “Simulating a War without Cost: The Implication of the Russo-Ukrainian War on the Cross-strait Relations in China,” Sungkyun China Insight (2022-06-30).


[14] “Latin America’s Choice and the Cross-strait Diplomatic Battle” (with Linbin Wang), The Diplomat (2022-05-13).


[15] “Xi Jinping’s Legitimacy Malaise Is Bad News for Cross-Strait Relations” (with Anthony Yang), The Diplomat (2022-05-11).


[16] “Latin America: Arena of Cross-Strait Rivalry” (with Linbin Wang), IDSS paper (2022-04-12).


[17] A Taipei Moment Next?” (with Linbin Wang), IDSS paper (2022-02-10).

[18] 중국이 '서구의 대안'? 아니라는 확실해지고 있다미국의 쇠락과 중국의 부상 그리고 몰락, SBS Premium (2024-03-27).


[19] 뮌헨협정과 대만: 역사적 유사점과 미중관계에 대한 세가지 교훈, The China: the JoongAng (2024-02-06).


[20] 미국의 소극적인 태도가 오히려 중국을 도발할 가능성이 높다 하는 이유, SBS Premium (2023-11-12).


[21] 중국의 전략적 문화에 대한 이해: 현실주의와 도덕주의의 충돌, The China: the JoongAng (2023-11-07).


[22] 중국의 쇠퇴를 논하기 전에 생각해봐야 것들, SBS Premium (2023-10-02).


[23] 중국은 미국을 대체하려 하지 않는다. 그저 중국 위치로 끌어내리려 뿐이다, The China: the JoongAng (2023-07-11).


[24] 싱가포르와 중국, The China: the JoongAng (2023-02-08).


[25] 시진핑 천하의 파벌 정치 어떻게 변할까, The China: the JoongAng (2022-11-29).


[26] 중국 최고지도부충성파’로 채운 시진핑, 과잉 충성 경쟁 우려, Chosun-Biz (2022-11-15).



[28] 중국 지도부, AI 미리 알고 있었다?, Sungkyun China Brief (2022-10-25).