Publication

Peer-reviewed Journals Note: * denotes the corresponding author

· Jonghyuk Lee* and Victor C. Shih, “Machine-learning Analysis of Leadership Formation in China to Parse the Roles of Loyalty and Institutional Norms,” PNAS – Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 120:45 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2305143120

 

· Jonghyuk Lee*, “Machine-learning Applications in Authoritarian Selection: The Case of China,” Research and Politics 10:4 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1177/20531680231211640 [Top 6 in Political Science and International Relations at SJR]

 

· Jonghyuk Lee*, “Incentivized Inequality: Career Incentives and Investment Distribution in China,” Journal of Chinese Political Science (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11366-023-09871-1 [Top 1 in Area Studies at SSCI]

 

· Jonghyuk Lee*, “Economic Compensation for Elite Dismissals in Authoritarian Regimes: Evidence from Chinese Provincial Officials,” Asian Journal of Social Science (2023). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ajss.2023.08.001

 

· Zi Yang and Jonghyuk Lee*, “The PLA’s International Relief Operations amid Regional and Global Disease Outbreaks—With Reference to the Ebola and Covid-19 Cases,” Korean Journal of Defense Analysis 35:2 (2023). https://doi.org/10.22883/kjda.2023.35.2.008

 

· Jonghyuk Lee*, “Coping with Crisis without Political Reform: Party’s Adaptation Strategies on the Provincial Standing Committee during Post-Mao China,” Asian Survey 61:3 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1525/AS.2021.61.3.411

 

· Victor C. Shih* and Jonghyuk Lee, “Locking in Fair Weather Friends: Assessing the Fate of Chinese Communist Elite When Their Patrons Fall from Power,” Party Politics 26:5 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1177/1354068818801143 [Q1 at SJR]

 

· David A. Meyer, Victor C. Shih*, and Jonghyuk Lee, Factions of Different Stripes: Gauging the Recruitment Logics of Factions in the Reform Period,” Journal of East Asian Studies 16:1 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1017/jea.2015.5

Peer-reviewed Journals under Revision and Resubmission

· Erin B. Carter*, Jonghyuk Lee, and Victor C. Shih, “How Bureaucratic Incentives Shape Repression in China,” Journal of Politics.

 

· Jonghyuk Lee*, “Limited Elite Power-sharing in a Personalized Regime: Xi Jinping’s Strategic Retreat from Local Politics,” Journal of Contemporary China [Top 7 in Area Studies at SSCI]

 

· Jonghyuk Lee*, “The Anatomy of Meritocracy: Collective Career Incentives and Subnational Variations of Economic Growth in China,” Public Performance & Management Review. [Q1 at SJR]

 

Book Projects and Chapters

· Jonghyuk Lee*, “A Data-driven Assessment of the CPC Leadership,” in CPC Futures: The New Era of Socialism with Chinese Characteristics, Edited by Frank N. Pieke and Bert Hofman, NUS Press, 2022


Commentaries and Policy Reports

· “The Munich Agreement: 3 Historical Lessons for the Taiwan Strait” (with Yipeng Zhang), The Diplomat (2024-01-27). https://thediplomat.com/2024/01/the-munich-agreement-3-historical-lessons-for-the-taiwan-strait/

 

· “The Future of Factional Politics in China under Xi Jinping,” RSIS Commentary (2023-08-31). https://www.rsis.edu.sg/rsis-publication/idss/the-future-of-factional-politics-in-china-under-xi-jinping/

 

· “Understanding China’s Strategic Culture: A Clash of Realpolitik and Cultural Moralism,” RSIS Commentary (2023-04-27). https://www.rsis.edu.sg/rsis-publication/rsis/understanding-chinas-strategic-culture-a-clash-of-realpolitik-and-cultural-moralism/

 

· “China’s Loosening Covid Policy: Lessons from India and Singapore” (with Xingjun Pan), IDSS paper (2023-01-16). https://www.rsis.edu.sg/rsis-publication/idss/ip23009-chinas-loosening-covid-policy-lessons-from-india-and-singapore

 

· “Xi Jinping’s Political Victory and the “Smart” Reunification Strategy: The Implication of the 20th CPC National Congress on the Cross-Strait Relations” (with Anthony Toh), IDSS paper (2022-11-11). https://www.rsis.edu.sg/rsis-publication/idss/ip22066-xi-jinpings-political-victory-and-smart-reunification-strategy-implications-of-the-20th-cpc-national-congress-on-cross-strait-relations

 

· “The Loyalty-Competence Trade-off in Xi Jinping’s Selection of Party Top Brass,” IDSS paper (2022-11-03). https://www.rsis.edu.sg/rsis-publication/idss/ip22060-the-loyalty-competence-trade-off-in-xi-jinpings-selection-of-party-top-brass

 

· “No Winner’s Game: Pelosi’s Visit to Taiwan and Geopolitics in Asia” (with Anthony Toh Han Yang and Zi Yang), IDSS paper (2022-08-23). https://www.rsis.edu.sg/rsis-publication/idss/ip22047-no-winners-game-pelosis-visit-to-taiwan-and-geopolitics-in-asia/

 

· “From Pragmatism to Aggression: The Sources and Consequences of China’s Assertive Foreign Policy under Xi Jinping” (with Anthony Toh), IDSS paper (2022-08-04). https://www.rsis.edu.sg/rsis-publication/idss/ip22041-from-pragmatism-to-aggression-the-sources-and-consequences-of-chinas-assertive-foreign-policy-under-xi-jinping/

 

· “AI has Spoken: Who will Make Xi’s Top Team, as Revealed by Machine Learning,” South China Morning Post (2022-07-05). https://www.scmp.com/comment/letters/article/3184041/ai-has-spoken-who-will-make-xis-top-team-revealed-machine-learning?utm_source=rss_feed

 

· “Machine-learning Predictions on the 20th Politburo Standing Committee of the Communist Party of China,” IDSS paper (2022-06-30). https://www.rsis.edu.sg/rsis-publication/idss/ip22036-machine-learning-predictions-on-the-20th-politburo-standing-committee-of-the-communist-party-of-china/

 

· “Simulating a War without Cost: The Implication of the Russo-Ukrainian War on the Cross-strait Relations in China,” Sungkyun China Insight (2022-06-30). https://sics.skku.edu/sics/issue/sics-insight.do?mode=view&articleNo=136619

 

· “Latin America’s Choice and the Cross-strait Diplomatic Battle” (with Linbin Wang), The Diplomat (2022-05-13). https://thediplomat.com/2022/05/latin-americas-choice-and-the-cross-strait-diplomatic-battle/

 

· “Xi Jinping’s Legitimacy Malaise Is Bad News for Cross-Strait Relations” (with Anthony Yang), The Diplomat (2022-05-11). https://thediplomat.com/2022/05/xi-jinpings-legitimacy-malaise-is-bad-news-for-cross-strait-relations/

 

· “Latin America: Arena of Cross-Strait Rivalry” (with Linbin Wang), IDSS paper (2022-04-12). https://www.rsis.edu.sg/rsis-publication/idss/ip22028-latin-america-extended-arena-of-cross-strait-rivalry/

 

· A Taipei Moment Next?” (with Linbin Wang), IDSS paper (2022-02-10). https://www.rsis.edu.sg/rsis-publication/idss/ip22005-a-taipei-moment-next/


Non-English Commentaries and Policy Reports

· 뮌헨협정과 대만: 역사적 유사점과 미중관계에 대한 세가지 교훈, The China: the JoongAng (2023-02-06).

 

· 미국의 소극적인 태도가 오히려 중국을 도발할 가능성이 높다 하는 이유, SBS Premium (2023-11-12). https://premium.sbs.co.kr/article/gmWR71TCgYU

 

· 중국의 전략적 문화에 대한 이해: 현실주의와 도덕주의의 충돌, The China: the JoongAng (2023-11-07). https://www.joongang.co.kr/article/25205279

 

· 중국의 쇠퇴를 논하기 전에 생각해봐야 것들, SBS Premium (2023-10-02). https://premium.sbs.co.kr/article/4SukHWQ6Yua

 

· 중국은 미국을 대체하려 하지 않는다. 그저 중국 위치로 끌어내리려 뿐이다, The China: the JoongAng (2023-07-11). https://www.joongang.co.kr/article/25176391

 

· 싱가포르와 중국, The China: the JoongAng (2023-02-08). https://www.joongang.co.kr/article/25139042

 

· 시진핑 천하의 파벌 정치 어떻게 변할까, The China: the JoongAng (2022-11-29). https://www.joongang.co.kr/article/25121600

 

· 중국 최고지도부충성파’로 채운 시진핑, 과잉 충성 경쟁 우려, Chosun-Biz (2022-11-15). https://biz.chosun.com/international/international_general/2022/11/15/XLFQCE

DUYBGL3GFQK7K54MVIQM/

 

· 중국 지도부, AI 미리 알고 있었다?, Sungkyun China Brief (2022-10-25). https://firenzedt.com/24455?fbclid=IwAR3G9J0mC8am83YnnIYAXJblliCP_yOkUdIiH50XWi2V0mt1UQs8Vp7bndo